Narrowing the gap between the share of men and women who work is one of the very important reforms policymakers can make to revive economies amid the weakest medium-term growth outlook in more than three decades.
With global growth predicted to languish at just 3 percent over the next five years and with traditional growth engines sputtering, many economies are missing out by not tapping women’s potential.
Only 47 percent of women are active in today’s labor markets, compared with 72 percent of men. The average global gap has fallen by only 1 percentage point annually over the past three decades and remains unacceptably wide.
To blame are unfair laws, unequal access to services, discriminatory attitudes and other barriers that prevent women from realizing their full economic potential. The result is a shocking waste of talent, leading to losses in potential growth.
We estimate that emerging and developing economies could boost gross domestic product by about 8 percent over the next few years by raising the rate of female labor force participation by 5.9 percentage points—the average amount by which the top 5 percent of countries reduced the participation gap during 2014-19. As the Chart of the Week shows, that’s more than the economic “scarring,” or output losses, inflicted on countries by the pandemic.
Policymakers can of course lift growth in many ways, from governance reforms to strengthen institutions, to financial reforms to unlock capital for investment, as discussed in a recent IMF blog. Complementing these reforms with measures to narrow gender gaps would greatly amplify these returns.
Unfortunately, present policies do not come close to closing gender gaps. Many researchers say it’s inevitable that women’s labor force participation will eventually reach that of men, even if it takes centuries. But gender gaps are unlikely to ever close if present policy trends persist, as we show in a new research paper.
Our analysis of three decades of data shows that countries have made progress increasing women’s participation, but economies of all income levels experienced several setbacks—a result of shocks, crises and policy reversals. The pandemic, for example, eroded progress closing gender gaps, especially for women with young children. Setbacks like this cause scarring that slows and often reverses progress toward gender equality.
As a result, gender gaps in labor force participation will narrow but never close if countries continue on their present policy path. Gaps would remain large for most countries, exceeding 16 percentage points in one out of ten countries.
Countries must step up efforts to break down barriers to women’s participation in the labor market—such as limited access to education, health, assets, finance, land, legal rights, and care services. They should systematically take account of how macroeconomic, structural, and financial policy packages impact women. The IMF’s gender strategy aims to assist member countries in these efforts.
Antoinette Monsio Sayeh is Deputy Managing Director of the IMF and has been a Distinguished Visiting Fellow at the Center for Global Development (CGD) since November 2016. She previously oversaw and significantly enhanced the IMF’s engagement with its sub-Saharan African members as Director of the African Department between 2008 and 2016. From 2006-2008, she was Minister of Finance in Liberia. Before that, she worked for the World Bank for 17 years. Prior to joining the Bank, she worked in economic advisory positions in Liberia’s Ministries of Finance and Planning. Ms. Sayeh graduated with a bachelor’s degree with honors in economics from Swarthmore College and a PhD in International Economic Relations from the Fletcher School at Tufts University.
Alejandro Badel is a Senior Economist at the Strategy Policy and Review Department's Inclusion and Gender Unit. An avid enthusiast of quantitative macro-inequality models, he has led research projects and policy work for the IMF, World Bank, and U.S. Federal Reserve, addressing issues like gender disparities, racial inequality, urban segregation, inequality and the life-cycle, taxing the top 1 percent, and long-run policy advise for low-income countries. Alejandro is also a devoted father, an advocate for parents in high-conflict custody cases, volunteer grant reviewer for the DC African-American Affairs Office, and an energetic volunteer in SPR's diversity and inclusion workgroup.
Rishi Goyal is Deputy Director in the IMF’s Strategy, Policy, and Review Department. He oversees the work on the IMF’s lending policies (related to its General Resources Account), integrating gender issues into its core activities, and small states. He has significant country and crisis prevention and management experience, having served as mission chief to Brazil, Mexico, Italy, and Greece. He has also contributed to thought leadership in the IMF. He helped formulate the IMF’s first gender mainstreaming strategy and several other institutional reforms. He co-led the IMF’s work on financial interconnectedness and spillovers during the global financial crisis and on a banking union for Europe during the euro area sovereign debt crisis. He holds a Ph.D. in economics from Stanford University and a B.A. in mathematics and economics from Swarthmore College.
This article first appeared at the IMFBlog, a forum for the views of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) staff and officials on pressing economic and policy issues of the day. The views expressed are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF and its Executive Board. Reprinted with permission.