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Asia–Pacific leading Europe in response to global recession.
Saturday, 20th June 2009
Source : KPMG International
Asia-Pacific businesses are using the global recession as an opportunity for major changes to their operations, in anticipation of the emergence of new international markets, while many European businesses are still undecided on how to respond to the recession, a new study has found.

Nearly 90 percent of businesses in Japan and 84 percent of businesses in Singapore are planning radical changes to their business models in the next decade. In India the figure is 72 percent and in China it is 66 percent.

But among companies in the Czech Republic and the Netherlands, only 20 percent are planning major changes to their businesses, rising to 25 percent in Belgium, 30 percent in Hungary and 42 percent in the U.K. The highest proportion in Europe is Ireland, where 63 percent expect radical change.

These figures come from ‘Never catch a falling knife', a report of research carried out among over 850 senior decision makers from 29 countries on behalf of KPMG's Global Tax practice.

Researchers asked business people about their day-to-day experience of the recession, what lessons they are bringing to this recession from their previous experience, and what their plans are for the immediate, and long term future.

"What struck us immediately was the high proportion of people saying that this recession is unique, and there is nothing in their experience to help them," said Sue Bonney from KPMG's member firm in the U.K.

"Globally, 15 percent of people took this view. But in Germany and Italy and Hungary the figure was around 40 percent. This suggests that there are a large number of companies in European countries struggling to find a strategy to cope with the downturn."

The immediate response from many companies is to cut costs as best they can and wait until markets begin to recover.

In Europe, many companies are relying on government action to renew their economies, particularly through better regulation of the financial sector. More than a third of respondents from Luxembourg thought this was a way forward, followed by 28 percent of companies in Spain, 24 percent in the Netherlands and 20 percent in Poland.

But among the Japanese no-one took this view, and in Singapore it was chosen by only eight percent of respondents. The preferred option in these countries is to reduce costs, with the Japanese focusing on better risk management and planning, and many companies from Singapore choosing to ride out the recession through looking after their customers.

"There clearly are companies in Europe planning to adapt to new markets, but the difference in approach between the countries of Europe and those of the Asia Pacific region is marked." said Sue Bonney "Several of the people we spoke to in India, China and Singapore saw today's problems as nothing new, and simply part of the regular process of renewal and reorganization that characterizes long term economic development."

One area on which there was a broad consensus is when the world economy will begin to recover. Just over half of companies polled expect a recovery in 2010, with 22 percent saying 2011 and seven percent saying 2012. Only a very pessimistic one percent thought we would still be in recession in 2014.

Never catch a falling knife 

This study, the latest in a series of business research projects accompanying KPMG's long-running program of International Tax Summits, is an attempt to capture the current experiences and future plans of business people around the world as they struggle with the effects of this recession. 

www.kpmg.com/SiteCollectionDocuments/Never-catch-a-falling-knife.pdf

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